{"id":94478,"date":"2026-02-26T04:42:06","date_gmt":"2026-02-26T09:42:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/luchonoticias.com\/editor\/?p=94478"},"modified":"2026-02-26T04:42:20","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T09:42:20","slug":"asi-esta-la-intencion-de-voto-presidencial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/luchonoticias.com\/editor\/asi-esta-la-intencion-de-voto-presidencial\/","title":{"rendered":"As\u00ed est\u00e1 la intenci\u00f3n de voto presidencial"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>La m\u00e1s reciente encuesta de intenci\u00f3n de voto para la primera vuelta presidencial de 2026, presentada por <em>Colombia Opina #20<\/em> de Invamer para <em>Blu Radio<\/em> y <em>Noticias Caracol<\/em>, muestra a Iv\u00e1n Cepeda como favorito en varios escenarios evaluados, seguido por Abelardo De La Espriella.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf4 <strong>\u00bfQu\u00e9 tan probable es que los colombianos voten?<\/strong><br>Al consultar sobre la probabilidad de votar si las elecciones presidenciales fueran el pr\u00f3ximo domingo, el <strong>52,9 %<\/strong> respondi\u00f3 que <em>definitivamente s\u00ed<\/em> participar\u00eda, mientras que el <strong>19,2 %<\/strong> dijo que <em>probablemente s\u00ed<\/em> votar\u00eda.<br>Por otro lado, el <strong>11,2 %<\/strong> a\u00fan no sabe si votar\u00eda, el <strong>5,5 %<\/strong> se\u00f1al\u00f3 que probablemente no lo har\u00eda y el <strong>10,5 %<\/strong> afirm\u00f3 que <em>definitivamente no<\/em> votar\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Escenario con ganadores de consultas presidenciales<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Al plantear un escenario en el que los ganadores de las consultas fueran <strong>Paloma Valencia, Roy Barreras y Claudia L\u00f3pez<\/strong>, y adem\u00e1s otros candidatos llegaran directamente a la primera vuelta, los resultados de intenci\u00f3n de voto fueron los siguientes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>: 37,1 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Abelardo De La Espriella<\/strong>: 18,9 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Claudia L\u00f3pez<\/strong>: 11,7 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Paloma Valencia<\/strong>: 10,0 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sergio Fajardo<\/strong>: 6,6 %<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Escenario con tarjeta cerrada de candidatos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ante la pregunta de por cu\u00e1l candidato votar\u00eda si la elecci\u00f3n presidencial fuera el pr\u00f3ximo domingo con una lista cerrada de aspirantes, los resultados cambiaron ligeramente:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Iv\u00e1n Cepeda<\/strong>: 43,0 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Abelardo De La Espriella<\/strong>: 23,4 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Claudia L\u00f3pez<\/strong>: 12,5 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sergio Fajardo<\/strong>: 10,3 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Paloma Valencia<\/strong>: 7,8 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Daniel Quintero<\/strong>: 1,4 %<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Voto en blanco<\/strong>: 1,6 %<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Detalles metodol\u00f3gicos<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La encuesta fue realizada entre el <strong>11 y el 22 de febrero de 2026<\/strong>, con <strong>3.800 entrevistas<\/strong> en <strong>147 municipios<\/strong> del pa\u00eds. El estudio tiene un <strong>margen de error de 1,93 %<\/strong> y un nivel de confianza del <strong>95 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La m\u00e1s reciente encuesta de intenci\u00f3n de voto para la primera vuelta presidencial de 2026, presentada por Colombia Opina #20 de Invamer para Blu Radio y Noticias Caracol, muestra a Iv\u00e1n Cepeda como favorito en varios escenarios evaluados, seguido por Abelardo De La Espriella. \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf4 \u00bfQu\u00e9 tan probable es que los colombianos voten?Al consultar sobre [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":94479,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,36,32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94478","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","category-destacado","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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