{"id":95935,"date":"2026-03-28T11:16:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T16:16:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/luchonoticias.com\/editor\/?p=95935"},"modified":"2026-03-28T11:16:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T16:16:21","slug":"nueva-encuesta-y-cepeda-sigue-liderando","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/luchonoticias.com\/editor\/nueva-encuesta-y-cepeda-sigue-liderando\/","title":{"rendered":"Nueva encuesta y Cepeda sigue liderando"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Una reciente encuesta de Guarumo y Ecoanal\u00edtica para <em>El Tiempo<\/em> muestra c\u00f3mo se est\u00e1 configurando el panorama electoral rumbo a las elecciones presidenciales de 2026 en Colombia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El estudio, realizado entre el 19 y el 25 de marzo en 69 municipios del pa\u00eds, ubica al candidato del Pacto Hist\u00f3rico, Iv\u00e1n Cepeda, en el primer lugar de intenci\u00f3n de voto con un 37,5%. Detr\u00e1s aparecen Abelardo de la Espriella con el 20,2% y Paloma Valencia con el 19,9%, en una disputa cerrada por el segundo lugar. El voto en blanco alcanza el 11%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En los sectores de centro, la f\u00f3rmula de Sergio Fajardo y Edna Bonilla obtiene un 3,9%, mientras que Claudia L\u00f3pez junto a Leonardo Huerta registra un 2,3%. M\u00e1s abajo figuran Santiago Botero con 1,5% y Miguel Uribe con 1,3%. Otros candidatos como Carlos Caicedo, Roy Barreras, Clara L\u00f3pez, Luis Gilberto Murillo y Mauricio Lizcano no superan el 1% de intenci\u00f3n de voto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De acuerdo con la medici\u00f3n, Cepeda tiene pr\u00e1cticamente asegurado su paso a la segunda vuelta, mientras que el segundo cupo se disputar\u00eda entre De la Espriella y Valencia. Sin embargo, el sondeo introduce un cambio clave: el candidato del Pacto Hist\u00f3rico ya no ganar\u00eda con claridad en todos los escenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En un eventual enfrentamiento entre Cepeda y Paloma Valencia se presentar\u00eda un empate t\u00e9cnico. El primero obtendr\u00eda el 43% frente al 40% de la candidata del Centro Democr\u00e1tico, una diferencia que, dentro del margen de error (2,25%), no permite establecer un ganador claro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En otros escenarios, Cepeda s\u00ed mantiene ventaja. Superar\u00eda a De la Espriella con un 44,9% frente a 36,4%, y tambi\u00e9n vencer\u00eda a Sergio Fajardo con cerca del 44% frente a poco m\u00e1s del 30%. Por su parte, en una eventual contienda entre De la Espriella y Fajardo, ninguno logra despegar con claridad, mientras que Valencia tambi\u00e9n se impondr\u00eda al exalcalde de Medell\u00edn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los resultados evidencian una carrera a\u00fan abierta, con un electorado fragmentado y altos niveles de indecisi\u00f3n que podr\u00edan ser determinantes en la recta final hacia 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Una reciente encuesta de Guarumo y Ecoanal\u00edtica para El Tiempo muestra c\u00f3mo se est\u00e1 configurando el panorama electoral rumbo a las elecciones presidenciales de 2026 en Colombia. El estudio, realizado entre el 19 y el 25 de marzo en 69 municipios del pa\u00eds, ubica al candidato del Pacto Hist\u00f3rico, Iv\u00e1n Cepeda, en el primer lugar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95936,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,36,32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-95935","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","category-destacado","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Nueva encuesta y Cepeda sigue liderando -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/luchonoticias.com\/editor\/nueva-encuesta-y-cepeda-sigue-liderando\/\" \/>\n<meta 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